I was recently asked to pass along  information about Mesothelioma from the Mesothelioma Cancer Center.   The cancer center, as a public service,   wanted to try and get information to the public about problems that might be found in homes built before 1980 that still have asbestos.   Asbestos becomes a problem only if it is friable... that is crunbling.  If the asbestos product is in good condition then there is no problem.  Hi-Tech Environmental Services  in Manhattan Beach will test any material you think might be asbestos.  They are very inexpensive and quick.  They will also remove asbestos products.   Below is the article from the Center:

                                Homeowners Implementing Green Alternatives to Asbestos in the Home

The state of California provides a great environment for active lifestyles and is regarded as one of the top states to call home. The path to owning a home is an exciting time for everyone, but one that will bring additional responsibilities. Utilized in thousands of construction and building applications throughout the 20^th century, asbestos was a highly regarded mineral due to its heat resistant properties.

Potential Manhattan Beach or South Bay Real Estate home buyers or those remodeling older homes should be aware that homes built before 1980 may still contain asbestos. Due to a steady progression of technology and green sustainable methods, there are many ways to ensure your home or property is asbestos free.

With a variety of home materials on the market still not banned b the federal government, there has been an overwhelming amount of concerned citizens regarding asbestos exposure. California is one of many states implementing sustainable methods of construction. Many new homes that are foreclosed may require renovation or repairs, especially in areas susceptible to natural disasters. This process may require inspection for hazardous materials.

Asbestos exposure is easily prevented by taking simple precautions.  Although un-damaged asbestos does not pose any harm, you should be aware that the inhlation of airborne asbestos fibers can cause mesothelioma, a severe lung ailment associated with asbestos exposure. Mesothelioma treatment has varied affects on individuals, with many factors impacting physician prognosis. These include age of diagnosis, latency period and age of diagnosis.

The amount of asbestos-related incidents in the last few decades has lead to asbestos lawyer firms advocating victim rights around the U.S. The negligence involved with the asbestos scandal has been one of greed and dishonesty. Manufacturers of asbestos were aware of its toxic qualities, but repressed this information from the public.

If any asbestos is suspected, the best advice is to leave it un-disturbed. . Sometimes the best action is no action. A home inspector can determine the proper course of action. Asbestos removal in public facilities, homes and workplaces must be undertaken by a licensed asbestos abatement contractor.  The removal of asbestos is a finite process that must be done by a professional. 

Green alternatives to asbestos include the use of lcynene foam, cotton fiber and cellulose. Cotton fiber is made from recycled batted material and treated to be fireproof. A water based spray polyurethane foam, lcynene features no toxic components.

Recently, congress passed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act into law. Included in this act were extensions to the tax incentives placed for energy efficiency in 2005, as well as new credits for homeowners who remodel or build using eco-sustainable methods. Existing homes are eligible for a series of efficiency measures that pertain to the home shell (Insulation, Windows, Sealing) worth 30% of the installed cost (materials only, labor is not included in the credit basis).

Manhattan Confidential, our local consumer blog, posted an article today about the decline in sales in Manhattan Beach and the Beach Cities. The post points out two things... the number of sales began to decline in 2002- 2003 ( higher prices mean fewer sales) and 2006 was when buyers started saying no and the market started cooling. Fast forward to 2009 and we have a real estate market that is trying to recover from a lousy economy and a tough lending market. Yet with all the chaos of the last few years prices, with a few exceptions, are still on the high side.M/p>

The issue for many Beach Cities' buyers is that while prices have fallen a lot in Manhattan, Hermosa and Redondo; they don't seem to be down as much as many believe they should be. Every news source is telling potential buyers that California has the largest number of foreclosures in the nation and prices are dropping like crazy. The media posts a new statistic every day on how much real estate prices have dropped in California. There are a glut of articles about buying foreclosures and short sales. So why are prices still so high in the Beach Cities?Last Sunday the LA Times had a terrific front page article that addressed the issue... why some markets are not acting in the way buyers expect. The main thrust of the article is that while prices are down overall, they may not be down as much in the more desirable areas.... i.e. The Beach Cities as say in Riverside. This scenario is very frustrating for buyers and for sellers. Buyers believe that sellers should accept lower prices for homes that have been on the market for long periods of time. Sellers/Banks, on the other hand, want to sell for as much as they can, especially when facing a loss. 

While not everyone thinks this is the time to buy... there are a lot of folks who are willing to take a chance and buy now. Most of these buyers don't think we have reached bottom but believe lower prices along with some very good long term interest rates mean it might make sense to buy. The problem is that there is still a big disconnect between where buyers believe prices should be and the prices that many home owners or in some cases banks are willing to accept. Many of my clients are especially frustrated with the prices that banks are setting for short sales.

While we don't have a huge inventory of REO's... there are a number of short sales in all the Beach Cities. Many of these are new construction that didn't find buyers. A number of builders have received NOD's. Logic would seem to say that as these homes have been on the market for a year or more that Banks would be wise to be fairly aggressive about accepting offers from well qualified buyers...but that isn't what seems to be happening.

We have seen an uptick in sales in the last month. This may be a seasonal reaction... spring is historically our buying season. It could be low interest rates. It could be that buyers are seeing a little light at the end of the tunnel in the economy and the housing market. Personally, I think prices still have a way to go before we see the bottom... but the bottom might not be as low as was predicted a few months ago. The kicker for our market will be foreclosures. If we see a spike in the number of foreclosures over the next 6 months then you can expect to see prices drop quite a bit. If we continue to have relatively few foreclosures prices will continue to be soft but will more likely be flat.

The U.S. Senate in an effort to customize their version of the Bailout Bill and add a few more perks the House missed,  voted to give home buyers a credit of 10% of the sale price or a maximum of $15,000 on a home purchase. Of course the bill is not actually a done deal... It has to go back to The House and then be signed by The President before it takes effect. Right now I'm guessing the bill will be changed along the way and won't be ready for consumers anytime soon... if ever.

Unlike the previous version of a $7500 tax credit that must be paid back..the new bill will not require buyers to reimburse the government..ie taxpayers for the money. I understand the idea behind the bill but once again I think the folks in DC are off the mark.

Would a $15,000 credit stimulate sales in the South Bay-Beach Cities...yes and no. Certainly getting an extra $15K credit looks like a good deal for anyone buying but the problem is that while the credit is nice it's pretty useless if banks are not making loans. And therein lies one of the major problems with many of the ideas about real estate and the homes market floating around Washington.

You can pass stimulus packages 'til the cows come home..but they are pretty useless if consumers can't use them. If the boys in DC are really serious about doing something about the housing crisis then I would suggest that the first step is putting a few conditions on the money they are passing around to lending instutions... namely if you want money from the government you have to make loans on homes.

If you caught the LA Times article about Million Dollar home sales in CA you know that in 2008 Manhattan Beach had more home sales over one million then any other community in the state. There were 296 sales in Manhattan Beach of homes above $1M in 2008 . While that probably makes most Manhattan Beach homeowners happy as an indication that values didn't take a complete nosedive... the information also points out that 2008 numbers were down considerably from the 403 homes that sold in 2007. So far this year that trend seems to be continuing with closed sales in January 2009 of 7 homes and 2 townhomes...ouch!

None of this information is surprising if you are buying or selling a home in Manhattan Beach or any of the Beach Cities. Sellers are trying to figure out the magic number that will make a buyer decide to make an offer, while Buyers are waiting for prices to drop more and loans to get easier to obtain.

There is a lot of information in the article that didn't make the headline. If you read the chart one of the things that pops out is that price-wise Manhattan Beach is in the middle of the pack. While prices are still on the high side they are below the prices of Laguna Beach, Newport Beach and even some areas of Palos Verdes.

However you have to read most of the article before you find what is perhaps the most significant piece of information...namely that of the 236,000 homes that went into foreclosure last year...only 1,612 were homes that sold over the $1M mark. I believe we will see more million dollar plus home in trouble this year as the economy worsens, but as a percentage that number will continue to be small relative to the total number of REO homes in CA.

Over the last few years there has been this assumption that anyone who bought an expensive home really couldn't afford the home. While I have no doubt there are a number of buyers who did get in over their heads... the low numbers above seem to indicate that perhaps most folks who bought in the more expensive communities were not as financially imprudent as many thought.

In just a few hours 2008 will be gone. I don't think many will be sad to see it go. No one has escaped unscathed from the financial and economic turmoil of 2008.

Our local Manhattan Beach-Beach Cities real estate market has certainly been adversely affected by the disruption to the economy. While we have fared better then other communities in Southern California we have not escaped the problems that affect California real estate.

In our little slice of Paradise prices are down in all the Beach Cities and sales volume is lower then last year at this time. Interest rates have dropped, but jumbo loans( $625,000+), with few exceptions, are still at high interest rates when compared to overall rates. This is a real problem in our Manhattan Beach-Beach Cities real estate market with median prices in most of the Beach Cities over the $625,000 hybrid conforming level.

While conforming rates are lower then at any time since 1971, the requirements to obtain a mortgage are probably stricter then they have been in the last 25 years. It is a bit ironic that lenders who gave loans to anyone who could fog a mirror are currently refusing loans to people who are are well qualified for sometimes inane reasons. As with all things in the financial community... this too will change.

There is a lot of speculation about what will happen in the Manhattan Beach-Beach Cities real estate markets in 2009. While there are those who are predicting a complete collapse in housing with markets returning to 1990 levels, most of us who have lived here for a long time are not quite so pessimistic. We have seen these market dives before and will no doubt see more in the future. If the recession gets worse then we could see more problems but so far we seem to be holding up fairly well. Could that change... of course it could. The market may be slow but it hasn't died.

Thoughts on the housing market of 2009 in the South Bay- Beach Cities.....

Consumers will exercise more discretion in spending. Buying a home will once again be about shelter rather then a short term investment where you expect the value of your home to double in 2 years. 25 years ago an entry level home was not a new 4000 sq ft home in the tree section of Manhattan Beach. People bought small older homes and worked their way up to big new homes over years. I think we will see a return to consumers buying below their means rather then above.

Foreclosures continue to be on the low side in the Beach Cities. Interest rates are at their lowest level since 1971 which means that many of the loans that will be resetting may do so at rates that will not be a problem for owners. Inventory continues to be much less then many had anticipated. As of today there are 507(total) homes and townhomes for sale on the MLS in the Beach Cities.... Manhattan Beach((178), Hermosa(78), N. Redondo (85), S. Redondo (124)and El Segundo(42). While you can expect the number of homes on the market to increase in the spring, we would need to see the economic crisis worsen considerably in the South Bay to create a scenario that dumped vast numbers of homes on the market.

This doesn't mean we won't continue to see prices moving downward... we will. It just means we probably won't see massive numbers of foreclosures and the devastating loss in value that happened in the '90's as long as the employment situation in the South Bay remains fairly stable.

The new Administration seems committed to stabilizing the housing market. The question is whether or not they will be able to do what the old one couldn't... namely bring stability back to the financial sector by buying up toxic assets and creating jobs with programs like the old WPA? If they can accomplish these goals without inflation rearing it's ugly head then the South Bay-Beach Cities real estate market may just squeek by with a minimal amount of problems. Once again only time will tell what awaits us in the future...

HAPPY NEW YEAR

 Kaye